FC Mk de Kinshasa vs Etoile de Kivu: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 6Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes FC Mk de Kinshasa the favourite at 37%, against 36% for a draw and 27% for Etoile de Kivu. The most likely score is 0-0. If FC Mk de Kinshasa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Mk de Kinshasa vs Etoile de Kivu?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate FC Mk de Kinshasa (1,617) and Etoile de Kivu (1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Mk de Kinshasa vs Etoile de Kivu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Mk de Kinshasa
Not enough data to predict the FC Mk de Kinshasa lineup.
Etoile de Kivu
Not enough data to predict the Etoile de Kivu lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Mk de Kinshasa have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Etoile de Kivu have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | New Jack(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Etoile de Kivu(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Anges Verts(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Dauphins Noirs(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | FC Renaissance(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | FC Mk de Kinshasa(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | New Jack(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Motema Pembe(home) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FC Mk de Kinshasa wins, 1 draw, 1 Etoile de Kivu win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | FC Mk de Kinshasa 1-1 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Etoile de Kivu 3-0 FC Mk de Kinshasa | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: FC Mk de Kinshasa vs Etoile de Kivu on Nov 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Mk de Kinshasa score 0.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Etoile de Kivu score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Mk de Kinshasa | 0.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 1/15 |
| Etoile de Kivu | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Mk de Kinshasa sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Etoile de Kivu sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Mk de Kinshasa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Etoile de Kivu | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
A question about FC Mk de Kinshasa vs Etoile de Kivu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Mk de Kinshasa vs Etoile de Kivu?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Mk de Kinshasa the favourite at 37%, against 36% for a draw and 27% for Etoile de Kivu.
- Where and when is FC Mk de Kinshasa vs Etoile de Kivu played?
- FC Mk de Kinshasa vs Etoile de Kivu is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.