FC Noah vs BKMA: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Armaviri Hakob Tonoyani Stadium, Armavir
The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for BKMA. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Noah vs BKMA?
FC Noah is a heavy favourite: 1,915 Elo points against 1,486 — a 429-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Noah have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; BKMA have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ararat(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 26, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Noah win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 BKMA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BKMA 0-1 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | FC Noah 2-0 BKMA | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | BKMA 0-2 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | FC Noah 2-3 BKMA | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | BKMA 1-5 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Apr 9, 2025 | FC Noah 3-0 BKMA | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Noah score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; BKMA score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Noah | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| BKMA | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Noah sit 1st in Premier League (12 points from 4 matches) and BKMA sit 10th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | BKMA | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Noah vs BKMA?
- The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for BKMA.
- Where and when is FC Noah vs BKMA played?
- FC Noah vs BKMA is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Armaviri Hakob Tonoyani Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.