Ararat vs FC Noah: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 16Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes FC Noah the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Ararat. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat vs FC Noah?
FC Noah is a heavy favourite: 1,893 Elo points against 1,440, a 453-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ararat vs FC Noah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 4V. Samsonyan
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 55G. Lima
- 18Malick Berte
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
FC Noah
4-3-3- 7Hélder Ferreira
- 8M. Lazetić
- 57A. Gareginyan
- 16S. Zdjelar
- 23A. Khamoyan
- 20V. Costache
- 4S. Mambo
- 19H. Hambardzumyan
- 6E. Boakye
- 33David Sualehe
- 29A. Koneglyan
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; FC Noah have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sardarapat(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 2-6 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Van(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Syunik(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ararat wins, 0 draws, 6 FC Noah wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Noah 4-0 Ararat | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | FC Noah 8-3 Ararat | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Ararat 0-3 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | FC Noah 2-0 Ararat | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | FC Noah 3-0 Ararat | Premier League |
| Nov 20, 2024 | FC Noah 4-0 Ararat | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Noah score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Noah | 2.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat sit 9th in Premier League (11 points from 13 matches) and FC Noah sit 1st (34 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 10 | 34 |
| 9 | Ararat | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 11 |
A question about Ararat vs FC Noah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat vs FC Noah?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Noah the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Ararat.
- Where and when is Ararat vs FC Noah played?
- Ararat vs FC Noah is played on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.