FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Right to Dream Park, Farum
The Footlab model makes FC Nordsjaelland the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for FC Midtjylland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate FC Nordsjaelland (2,090) and FC Midtjylland (2,170).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Nordsjaelland have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; FC Midtjylland have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sonderjyske(away) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Silkeborg(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Randers FC(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lyngby(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Nordsjaelland win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Midtjylland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | FC Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 FC Midtjylland | DBU Pokalen |
| Dec 4, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 5-1 FC Nordsjaelland | DBU Pokalen |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 6-0 FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Nordsjaelland score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Midtjylland score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 2.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Midtjylland | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Nordsjaelland sit 3rd in Superliga (10 points from 4 matches) and FC Midtjylland sit 4th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland?
- The Footlab model makes FC Nordsjaelland the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for FC Midtjylland.
- Where and when is FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland played?
- FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Right to Dream Park, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.