FC Obermais vs Mestre: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FC Obermais the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Mestre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Obermais vs Mestre?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate FC Obermais (1,699) and Mestre (1,766).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Obermais have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Mestre have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 10, 2026 | San Luigi(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | San Luigi(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Conegliano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Altavilla(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Legnago Salus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Luparense(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FC Obermais win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mestre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Mestre 3-1 FC Obermais | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FC Obermais 0-1 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Mestre vs FC Obermais on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Obermais score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mestre score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Obermais | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Mestre | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Obermais sit 15th in Serie D - Girone C (37 points from 35 matches) and Mestre sit 6th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mestre | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 55 |
| 15 | FC Obermais | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 47 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Obermais vs Mestre?
- The Footlab model makes FC Obermais the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Mestre.
- Where and when is FC Obermais vs Mestre played?
- FC Obermais vs Mestre is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.