FC Porto vs FK Crvena Zvezda: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 2, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Full time
What was the result of FC Porto vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
FC Porto won 2-1 on October 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′WilliamFC Porto (pen.)
- 32′V. KostovFK Crvena Zvezda
- 89′Rodrigo MoraFC Porto
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; FK Crvena Zvezda have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2025 | Arouca(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Rio Ave(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Radnicki 1923(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Celtic(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | FK Partizan(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 7-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Novi Pazar(away) | 5-1 | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; FK Crvena Zvezda score 3.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 2.0 | 0.6 | 11 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 3.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto sit 5th in UEFA Europa League (17 points from 8 matches) and FK Crvena Zvezda sit 15th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy