FC Porto vs Malmo FF: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 11, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Full time
What was the result of FC Porto vs Malmo FF?
FC Porto won 2-1 on December 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′SamuFC Porto
- 36′SamuFC Porto
- 90′Francisco MouraMalmo FF (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Malmo FF have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Tondela(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-3 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Nice(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sintrense(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Gais(home) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Panathinaikos(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | BK Hacken(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Hammarby FF(home) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 1.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Malmo FF score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 1.8 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Malmo FF | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto sit 5th in UEFA Europa League (17 points from 8 matches) and Malmo FF sit 35th (1 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy