FC Porto vs Paredes: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
The Footlab AI model makes FC Porto the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Paredes. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,580 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto vs Paredes?
FC Porto is a heavy favourite: 2,399 Elo points against 2,077, a 322-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Porto vs Paredes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Porto
4-3-3- 11Pepê Aquino
- 17Borja Sainz
- 9Samu
- 8Victor Mow Froholdt
- 13P. Rosario
- 10Gabri Veiga
- 4J. Kiwior
- 20Alberto Baio
- 5J. Bednarek
- 12Z. Sanusi
- 99Diogo Costa
Paredes
4-3-3- 11F. Almara
- 7Miguel
- 14Erik
- 8Diogo Silva
- 10Daniel Rodrigues
- 6B. Val
- 3Dénis Duarte
- 13João Vigário
- 2P. Araujo
- 44Gustavo Fernandes
- 31Fábio Matos
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Paredes have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-0 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paredes score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Paredes | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about FC Porto vs Paredes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto vs Paredes?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Porto the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Paredes.
- Where and when is FC Porto vs Paredes played?
- FC Porto vs Paredes is played on November 20, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Dragão, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.