Guimaraes B vs Paredes: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Gémeos Castro, Guimarães
The Footlab AI model makes Paredes the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Guimaraes B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paredes wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Paredes?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Guimaraes B (2,026) and Paredes (2,094).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guimaraes B vs Paredes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guimaraes B
4-3-3- 33E. Opara
- 87G. Paula
- 14Rodrigo Duarte
- 80R. Rocha
- 36A. Meireles
- 50Zeega
- 93Rika
- 76Rafael Alcobia
- 72T. Rodrigues
- 96Rodrigo Silva
- 99Guilherme
Paredes
4-3-3- 11F. Almara
- 7Miguel
- 14Erik
- 8Diogo Silva
- 10Daniel Rodrigues
- 6B. Val
- 3Dénis Duarte
- 13João Vigário
- 44Gustavo Fernandes
- 2P. Araujo
- 31Fábio Matos
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes B have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Paredes have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leça(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ermesinde(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guimaraes B wins, 2 draws, 2 Paredes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Paredes 3-1 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Guimaraes B 1-3 Paredes | Liga 3 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Paredes 1-1 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| May 18, 2025 | Paredes 0-2 Guimaraes B | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Guimaraes B 3-3 Paredes | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Guimaraes B 2-1 Paredes | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Paredes vs Guimaraes B on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes B score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paredes score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes B | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Paredes | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes B sit 7th in Liga 3 (5 points from 5 matches) and Paredes sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Paredes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
A question about Guimaraes B vs Paredes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guimaraes B vs Paredes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paredes the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Guimaraes B.
- Where and when is Guimaraes B vs Paredes played?
- Guimaraes B vs Paredes is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Gémeos Castro, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.