Guimaraes B vs Paredes: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Gémeos Castro, Guimarães
The Footlab model makes Paredes the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Guimaraes B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Paredes?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Guimaraes B (1,948) and Paredes (1,969).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes B have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Paredes have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leça(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | AVS(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guimaraes B win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Paredes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Paredes 3-1 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Guimaraes B 1-3 Paredes | Liga 3 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Paredes 1-1 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| May 18, 2025 | Paredes 0-2 Guimaraes B | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Guimaraes B 3-3 Paredes | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Guimaraes B 2-1 Paredes | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Paredes vs Guimaraes B on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes B score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paredes score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes B | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Paredes | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes B sit 5th in Liga 3 (4 points from 3 matches) and Paredes sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Paredes | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guimaraes B vs Paredes?
- The Footlab model makes Paredes the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Guimaraes B.
- Where and when is Guimaraes B vs Paredes played?
- Guimaraes B vs Paredes is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Gémeos Castro, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.