FC ST. Gallen vs FC Vaduz: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)kybunpark, St. Gallen
The Footlab model makes FC ST. Gallen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for FC Vaduz. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Vaduz?
FC ST. Gallen starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,049 vs 1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC ST. Gallen have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; FC Vaduz have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Thalwil(away) | 3-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BSC Young Boys(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC ST. Gallen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Vaduz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Vaduz 2-3 FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
| Jul 13, 2024 | FC Vaduz 0-1 FC ST. Gallen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2021 | FC ST. Gallen 1-0 FC Vaduz | Super League |
| Feb 20, 2021 | FC Vaduz 2-1 FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
| Jan 20, 2021 | FC ST. Gallen 2-0 FC Vaduz | Super League |
| Sep 27, 2020 | FC Vaduz 0-1 FC ST. Gallen | Super League |
Last archived meeting: FC Vaduz vs FC ST. Gallen on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC ST. Gallen score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Vaduz score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC ST. Gallen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Vaduz | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC ST. Gallen sit 4th in Super League (7 points from 3 matches) and FC Vaduz sit 12th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Vaduz?
- The Footlab model makes FC ST. Gallen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for FC Vaduz.
- Where and when is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Vaduz played?
- FC ST. Gallen vs FC Vaduz is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at kybunpark, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.