FC Thun vs FC Lugano: result 1-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 5, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time
What was the result of FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
FC Thun and FC Lugano drew 1-1 on November 5, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 21′D. MarianiFC Lugano
- 51′S. LauperFC Thun
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Thun have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FC Lugano have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | Lausanne(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Oct 21, 2017 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Oct 15, 2017 | FC Zurich(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Oct 1, 2017 | FC Luzern(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 24, 2017 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2017 | Plzen(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 29, 2017 | FC Luzern(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 22, 2017 | FC Sion(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2017 | Plzen(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 14, 2017 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 0-4 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 FC Thun win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Lugano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2017 | FC Lugano 4-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Apr 17, 2017 | FC Lugano 2-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Mar 12, 2017 | FC Thun 5-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Dec 4, 2016 | FC Lugano 1-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Sep 25, 2016 | FC Thun 2-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Thun score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lugano score 1.2 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Thun | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Lugano | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Thun sit 9th in Super League (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Lugano sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy