FC Tosno vs Baltika: result 4-1 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 3, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Petrovskiy, St. Petersburg
Full time
What was the result of FC Tosno vs Baltika?
FC Tosno won 4-1 on September 3, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 15′A. ZabolotnyFC Tosno
- 32′E. MarkovFC Tosno
- 53′E. MarkovFC Tosno
- 77′97780Baltika
- 79′P. KireenkoFC Tosno
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, FC Tosno have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Baltika have 2, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2016 | Dynamo(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Enisey(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2016 | Tyumen(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2016 | FK Sokol Saratov(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2016 | Spartak Moscow 2(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Luch-Energiya(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2016 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Zenit 2(home) | 0-0 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Tosno score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 10; Baltika score 0.6 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tosno | 1.3 | 0.7 | 4 | 6/10 | 4/10 |
| Baltika | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4 | 4/10 | 2/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy