Zenit vs Baltika: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gazprom Arena, St. Petersburg
The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Baltika. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zenit vs Baltika?
Zenit starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (2,191 vs 1,966).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zenit vs Baltika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zenit
4-2-3-1- 7A. Sobolev
- 5W. Barrios
- 11Luiz Henrique
- 20Pedro Henrique
- 10M. Glushenkov
- 93A. Karpukas
- 31Gustavo Mantuan
- 33Nino
- 28N. Alip
- 3Douglas Santos
- 16D. Adamov
Baltika
5-4-1- 9C. Offor
- 73M. Petrov
- 7K. Shiltsov
- 8A. Mendel
- 5A. Mourid
- 2S. Varatynov
- 22M. Beveev
- 4N. Gassama
- 24L. Mouyokolo
- 77E. Ćivić
- 1E. Latyshonok
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zenit have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Baltika have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Zenit wins, 1 draw, 0 Baltika wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Baltika 2-3 Zenit | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Zenit 1-0 Baltika | Cup |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Baltika 0-1 Zenit | Cup |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Zenit 1-0 Baltika | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Baltika 0-0 Zenit | Premier League |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Baltika 1-2 Zenit | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1.8 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Baltika | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zenit sit 3rd in Premier League (21 points from 10 matches) and Baltika sit 8th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zenit | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 8 | Baltika | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Zenit vs Baltika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zenit vs Baltika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Baltika.
- Where and when is Zenit vs Baltika played?
- Zenit vs Baltika is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gazprom Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.