FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lidl Arena, Wil
The Footlab model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC WIL 1900. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate FC WIL 1900 (1,733) and FC Winterthur (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC WIL 1900 have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; FC Winterthur have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rebstein(away) | 6-2 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Winterthur(away) | 0-5 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 5-4 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zürich City(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 5-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(home) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC WIL 1900 win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 FC Winterthur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Winterthur 5-0 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | FC Winterthur 2-2 FC WIL 1900 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2024 | FC WIL 1900 2-2 FC Winterthur | Schweizer Cup |
| May 9, 2022 | FC WIL 1900 1-1 FC Winterthur | Challenge League |
| Feb 12, 2022 | FC Winterthur 4-0 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Dec 11, 2021 | FC WIL 1900 3-5 FC Winterthur | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: FC Winterthur vs FC WIL 1900 on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC WIL 1900 score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Winterthur score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC WIL 1900 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Winterthur | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC WIL 1900 sit 9th in Challenge League (3 points from 4 matches) and FC Winterthur sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Winterthur | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur?
- The Footlab model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC WIL 1900.
- Where and when is FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur played?
- FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lidl Arena, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.