Yverdon Sport vs FC Winterthur: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for FC Winterthur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yverdon Sport vs FC Winterthur?
Yverdon Sport starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yverdon Sport have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; FC Winterthur have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Terre Sainte(away) | 5-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Winterthur(away) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zürich City(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 5-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(home) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yverdon Sport win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC Winterthur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Winterthur 2-2 Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| May 17, 2025 | FC Winterthur 2-2 Yverdon Sport | Super League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Yverdon Sport 2-1 FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Yverdon Sport 3-0 FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Aug 4, 2024 | FC Winterthur 0-0 Yverdon Sport | Super League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | FC Winterthur 2-1 Yverdon Sport | Super League |
Last archived meeting: FC Winterthur vs Yverdon Sport on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yverdon Sport score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Winterthur score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yverdon Sport | 2.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Winterthur | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yverdon Sport sit 3rd in Challenge League (8 points from 4 matches) and FC Winterthur sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | FC Winterthur | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yverdon Sport vs FC Winterthur?
- The Footlab model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for FC Winterthur.
- Where and when is Yverdon Sport vs FC Winterthur played?
- Yverdon Sport vs FC Winterthur is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.