FCSB II vs Progresul Spartac: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Baza ARCOM (teren 4 iarbă), Bucureşti
The Footlab AI model makes FCSB II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Progresul Spartac. The most likely score is 1-1. If FCSB II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCSB II vs Progresul Spartac?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate FCSB II (1,500) and Progresul Spartac (1,511).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FCSB II vs Progresul Spartac
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FCSB II
Not enough data to predict the FCSB II lineup.
Progresul Spartac
4-3-3- AA. Florescu
- MM. Andrei
- AA. Chirițoiu
- EE. Pacionel
- AA. Crivac
- GG. Petcu
- DD. Parfeon
- 16V. Calea
- RR. Răducioiu
- SS. Radu
- DD. Paraschiv
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCSB II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Progresul Spartac have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Omega Sport(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Alexandria(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oxigen Bucuresti(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Omega Sport(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FCSB II win, 0 draws, 2 Progresul Spartac wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Progresul Spartac 2-1 FCSB II | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Apr 30, 2021 | Progresul Spartac 4-0 FCSB II | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 6, 2020 | FCSB II 3-1 Progresul Spartac | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Spartac vs FCSB II on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FCSB II score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Spartac score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB II | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Progresul Spartac | 2.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FCSB II sit 12th in Liga III - Serie 5 (3 points from 7 matches) and Progresul Spartac sit 10th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Progresul Spartac | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 12 | FCSB II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 3 |
A question about FCSB II vs Progresul Spartac?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCSB II vs Progresul Spartac?
- The Footlab AI model makes FCSB II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Progresul Spartac.
- Where and when is FCSB II vs Progresul Spartac played?
- FCSB II vs Progresul Spartac is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Baza ARCOM (teren 4 iarbă), in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.