FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Naţională, Bucureşti
The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Petrolul Ploiesti. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
FCSB starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCSB have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Petrolul Ploiesti have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Botosani(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Auda(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FCSB win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | FCSB 3-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Nov 22, 2025 | FCSB 1-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-1 FCSB | Liga I |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-0 FCSB | Liga I |
| Sep 21, 2024 | FCSB 1-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Mar 3, 2024 | FCSB 1-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FCSB score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FCSB sit 3rd in Liga I (11 points from 6 matches) and Petrolul Ploiesti sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FCSB | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
- The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Petrolul Ploiesti.
- Where and when is FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti played?
- FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Naţională, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.