Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cluj Arena, Cluj-Napoca
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Cluj the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul?
Universitatea Cluj starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitatea Cluj have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Oţelul have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(away) | 1-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Uta Arad(home) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | FC Botosani(home) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Uta Arad(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Universitatea Cluj win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Oţelul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj 4-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj 2-0 Oţelul | Cupa României |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Oţelul 1-2 Universitatea Cluj | Liga I |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Oţelul 0-1 Universitatea Cluj | Liga I |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Universitatea Cluj 2-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| May 19, 2024 | Oţelul 0-2 Universitatea Cluj | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitatea Cluj score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Cluj | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitatea Cluj sit 7th in Liga I (9 points from 5 matches) and Oţelul sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Universitatea Cluj | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Oţelul | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Cluj the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Oţelul.
- Where and when is Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul played?
- Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cluj Arena, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.