FCSB vs Uta Arad: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Arena Naţională, Bucureşti
The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Uta Arad. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCSB vs Uta Arad?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate FCSB (1,805) and Uta Arad (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCSB have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Uta Arad have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Botosani(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Auda(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Csikszereda(away) | 2-0 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 1-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FCSB win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Uta Arad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | FCSB 1-0 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Uta Arad 2-4 FCSB | Liga I |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Uta Arad 3-0 FCSB | Cupa României |
| Oct 26, 2025 | FCSB 4-0 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Uta Arad 0-1 FCSB | Liga I |
| Sep 1, 2024 | FCSB 2-0 Uta Arad | Liga I |
How many goals should we expect?
FCSB score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Uta Arad score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Uta Arad | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FCSB sit 2nd in Liga I (11 points from 5 matches) and Uta Arad sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FCSB | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCSB vs Uta Arad?
- The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Uta Arad.
- Where and when is FCSB vs Uta Arad played?
- FCSB vs Uta Arad is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Naţională, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.