Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orăşenesc, Mioveni
The Footlab model makes Arges Pitesti the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Arges Pitesti (1,769) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arges Pitesti have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Csikszereda(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FCSB(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arges Pitesti win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | Arges Pitesti 0-5 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4-0 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Dec 15, 2021 | Arges Pitesti 1-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0-2 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Arges Pitesti 1-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-0 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on Nov 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Arges Pitesti score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arges Pitesti sit 4th in Liga I (10 points from 5 matches) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arges Pitesti | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
- The Footlab model makes Arges Pitesti the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
- Where and when is Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe played?
- Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orăşenesc, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.