Fehérvár FC vs Ajka: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MOL Aréna Sóstó, Székesfehérvár
The Footlab model makes Fehérvár FC the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Ajka. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fehérvár FC vs Ajka?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Fehérvár FC (1,659) and Ajka (1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fehérvár FC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ajka have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(home) | 1-2 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(away) | 1-2 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Szeged 2011(home) | 1-0 | NB II |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kazincbarcikai(away) | 1-3 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kozarmisleny FC(home) | 4-0 | NB II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(home) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diosgyori VTK(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Fehérvár FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ajka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Fehérvár FC 1-0 Ajka | NB II |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Ajka 1-1 Fehérvár FC | NB II |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Fehérvár FC 3-2 Ajka | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Fehérvár FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ajka score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fehérvár FC | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ajka | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fehérvár FC sit 9th in NB II (6 points from 5 matches) and Ajka sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Fehérvár FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fehérvár FC vs Ajka?
- The Footlab model makes Fehérvár FC the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Ajka.
- Where and when is Fehérvár FC vs Ajka played?
- Fehérvár FC vs Ajka is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MOL Aréna Sóstó, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.