Kecskeméti TE vs Karcag SE: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Széktói Stadion, Kecskemét
The Footlab model makes Kecskeméti TE the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Karcag SE. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kecskeméti TE vs Karcag SE?
Kecskeméti TE starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,730 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kecskeméti TE have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Karcag SE have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gyirmot SE(away) | 4-1 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(home) | 2-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | BVSC(away) | 1-0 | NB II |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tiszakecske FC(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ajka(away) | 1-3 | NB II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BVSC(away) | 4-1 | NB II |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tiszakecske FC(home) | 3-3 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ajka(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Soroksar(home) | 2-2 | NB II |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Szentlőrinc SE(away) | 0-0 | NB II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Kecskeméti TE win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karcag SE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Karcag SE 1-2 Kecskeméti TE | NB II |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Kecskeméti TE 2-0 Karcag SE | NB II |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Karcag SE 1-0 Kecskeméti TE | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Karcag SE vs Kecskeméti TE on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kecskeméti TE score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Karcag SE score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kecskeméti TE | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Karcag SE | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kecskeméti TE sit 3rd in NB II (10 points from 5 matches) and Karcag SE sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kecskeméti TE | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Karcag SE | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kecskeméti TE vs Karcag SE?
- The Footlab model makes Kecskeméti TE the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Karcag SE.
- Where and when is Kecskeméti TE vs Karcag SE played?
- Kecskeméti TE vs Karcag SE is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Széktói Stadion, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.