Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Gaziantep FK. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK?
Fenerbahçe is a heavy favourite: 2,208 Elo points against 1,900, a 308-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenerbahçe have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Gaziantep FK have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 4-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Fenerbahçe win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gaziantep FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Fenerbahçe 4-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Gaziantep FK 0-4 Fenerbahçe | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 0-4 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 1-3 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 1-4 Fenerbahçe | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Fenerbahçe 3-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fenerbahçe score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenerbahçe sit 8th in Süper Lig (3 points from 2 matches) and Gaziantep FK sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK?
- The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Gaziantep FK.
- Where and when is Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK played?
- Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK is played on February 21, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.