Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
The Footlab model makes Gaziantep FK the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Gaziantep FK (1,900) and Kocaelispor (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kocaelispor have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Gaziantep FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kocaelispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kocaelispor 3-0 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Gaziantep FK 1-0 Kocaelispor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Gaziantep FK 3-2 Kocaelispor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kocaelispor score 0.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kocaelispor | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gaziantep FK sit 6th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Kocaelispor sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor?
- The Footlab model makes Gaziantep FK the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor played?
- Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor is played on February 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gaziantep Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.