Ferencvarosi TC vs Budapest Honved: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Aréna, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Budapest Honved. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferencvarosi TC vs Budapest Honved?
Ferencvarosi TC is a heavy favourite: 2,064 Elo points against 1,759, a 305-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferencvarosi TC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Budapest Honved have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vasas(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Paks(away) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Jul 18, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Ferencvarosi TC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Budapest Honved win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Ferencvarosi TC 3-0 Budapest Honved | NB I |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Budapest Honved 0-2 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Ferencvarosi TC 3-1 Budapest Honved | NB I |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Budapest Honved 1-2 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Budapest Honved 0-1 Ferencvarosi TC | Magyar Kupa |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Budapest Honved | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Ferencvarosi TC vs Budapest Honved on Apr 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ferencvarosi TC score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Budapest Honved score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 1.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Budapest Honved | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferencvarosi TC sit 10th in NB I (4 points from 3 matches) and Budapest Honved sit 11th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Budapest Honved | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferencvarosi TC vs Budapest Honved?
- The Footlab model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Budapest Honved.
- Where and when is Ferencvarosi TC vs Budapest Honved played?
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Budapest Honved is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Groupama Aréna, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.