Paks vs Ujpest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ujpest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paks wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,572 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paks vs Ujpest?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Paks (1,874) and Ujpest (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paks vs Ujpest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paks
5-3-2- 7J. Szalai
- 9J. Hahn
- 21K. Papp
- 17M. Pető
- 8B. Balogh
- 14E. Silye
- 2Á. Kinyik
- 24B. Lenzsér
- 30J. Szabó
- 5B. Vécsei
- 28M. Gyetván
Ujpest
4-2-3-1- 26M. Tijani
- 14E. Amenyido
- 88M. Ljujić
- 17A. Matko
- 11K. Horváth
- 27Á. Krajcsovics
- 94P. Stronati
- 3Heitor
- 20M. Zeke
- 36Ferenc Ujvary
- 1P. Szappanos
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paks have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ujpest have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vasas(away) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Oct 10, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kazincbarcikai(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(away) | 0-1 | NB I |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 0-1 | NB I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Paks wins, 2 draws, 1 Ujpest win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Paks 2-0 Ujpest | NB I |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ujpest 0-0 Paks | NB I |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Paks 1-3 Ujpest | NB I |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Ujpest 1-2 Paks | NB I |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Paks 6-1 Ujpest | NB I |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Ujpest 0-0 Paks | NB I |
How many goals should we expect?
Paks score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ujpest score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paks | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Ujpest | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paks sit 4th in NB I (17 points from 11 matches) and Ujpest sit 7th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paks | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 17 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Paks vs Ujpest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paks vs Ujpest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ujpest.
- Where and when is Paks vs Ujpest played?
- Paks vs Ujpest is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.