Fermana vs Lucchese: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 36Kick-off on April 14, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Bruno Recchioni, Fermo
Full time
What was the result of Fermana vs Lucchese?
Fermana won 2-1 on April 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 16′P. YeboahLucchese
- 19′D. PaponiFermana
- 90′O. NiangFermana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fermana have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Lucchese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Torres(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Rimini(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Arezzo(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Pineto(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | Arezzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Cesena(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Virtus Entella(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Olbia(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Fermana win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Lucchese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | Lucchese 0-0 Fermana | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Lucchese 1-1 Fermana | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Fermana 1-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Lucchese 0-0 Fermana | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Fermana 0-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Fermana score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fermana | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Lucchese | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy