Fermana vs Lucchese: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 36Kick-off on April 14, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Bruno Recchioni, Fermo
Full time
What was the result of Fermana vs Lucchese?
Fermana won 2-1 on April 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 16′P. YeboahLucchese
- 19′D. PaponiFermana
- 90′O. NiangFermana
Official lineup for Fermana vs Lucchese
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Fermana
- 9L. Sorrentino
- 11D. Paponi
- 26G. Misuraca
- 8C. Scorza
- 15Pietro Santi
- 20M. Giandonato
- 21N. Malaccari
- 6F. Fort
- 14J. Heinz
- 36A. Carosso
- 1N. Borghetto
Lucchese
- 11F. Disanto
- 45P. Yeboah
- 7A. Rizzo Pinna
- 8G. Tumbarello
- 14E. Quirini
- 27R. Gucher
- 72E. Visconti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 21A. Sabbione
- 23F. Benassai
- 22N. Chiorra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fermana have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Lucchese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Torres(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Rimini(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Arezzo(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Pineto(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | Arezzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Cesena(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Virtus Entella(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Olbia(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Fermana win, 4 draws, 0 Lucchese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | Lucchese 0-0 Fermana | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Lucchese 1-1 Fermana | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Fermana 1-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Lucchese 0-0 Fermana | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Fermana 0-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Fermana score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fermana | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Lucchese | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Fermana vs Lucchese?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy