Lucchese vs Prato: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca
The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Prato. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lucchese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lucchese vs Prato?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Lucchese (1,714) and Prato (1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lucchese vs Prato
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lucchese
4-3-3- 9S. Magnaghi
- 70E. Saporiti
- 10A. Selvini
- 21E. Visconti
- 27R. Gucher
- 96G. Galli
- 5S. Benedetti
- 29E. Antoni
- 30A. Gemignani
- 3N. Rizzo
- 59R. Melgrati
Prato
Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Prato have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 6-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Lucchese wins, 1 draw, 1 Prato win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2019 | Prato 0-1 Lucchese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Prato 0-1 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 8, 2017 | Lucchese 0-0 Prato | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Prato 3-2 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Lucchese 3-0 Prato | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucchese score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucchese | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Prato | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lucchese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone E (13 points from 6 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Lucchese vs Prato?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lucchese vs Prato?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Prato.
- Where and when is Lucchese vs Prato played?
- Lucchese vs Prato is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026TernanavsSasso Marconi Zola
- Dec 6, 2026Robur SienavsTerranuova Traiana
- Dec 6, 2026SeravezzavsScandicci
- Dec 6, 2026GrassinavsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Dec 6, 2026Montevarchi CalciovsGavorrano
- Dec 6, 2026ProgressovsFlaminia
- Dec 6, 2026Tau AltopasciovsMezzolara
- Dec 6, 2026RondinellavsSan Donato Tavarnelle