Fernwald vs Baunatal: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Steinbach, Fernwald
The Footlab AI model makes Fernwald the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Baunatal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fernwald wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fernwald vs Baunatal?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Fernwald (1,820) and Baunatal (1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fernwald vs Baunatal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fernwald
Not enough data to predict the Fernwald lineup.
Baunatal
3-5-2- 13N. Schrader
- 11N. Möller
- 24J. Springer
- 10Felix Schäfer
- 7R. Sattorov
- 14D. Kardovic
- 26T. Ludwig
- 3N. Künzel
- 20M. Blahout
- 22D. Borghardt
- 39P. Bielert
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fernwald have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Baunatal have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vfb Marburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fernwald wins, 1 draw, 3 Baunatal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Fernwald 1-2 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Baunatal 2-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 10, 2025 | Fernwald 1-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Baunatal 0-2 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 11, 2024 | Fernwald 3-0 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Baunatal 1-0 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Fernwald score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Baunatal score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernwald | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Baunatal | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fernwald sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (16 points from 12 matches) and Baunatal sit 14th (12 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fernwald | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Baunatal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
A question about Fernwald vs Baunatal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fernwald vs Baunatal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fernwald the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Baunatal.
- Where and when is Fernwald vs Baunatal played?
- Fernwald vs Baunatal is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.