Baunatal vs Fernwald: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Baunatal
The Footlab AI model makes Fernwald the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Baunatal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fernwald wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baunatal vs Fernwald?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Baunatal (1,761) and Fernwald (1,812).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baunatal vs Fernwald
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baunatal
3-5-2- 13N. Schrader
- 11N. Möller
- 24J. Springer
- 10Felix Schäfer
- 7R. Sattorov
- 14D. Kardovic
- 26T. Ludwig
- 3N. Künzel
- 20M. Blahout
- 22D. Borghardt
- 39P. Bielert
Fernwald
Not enough data to predict the Fernwald lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baunatal have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fernwald have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 9, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Baunatal wins, 1 draw, 2 Fernwald wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Fernwald 1-2 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Baunatal 2-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 10, 2025 | Fernwald 1-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Baunatal 0-2 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 11, 2024 | Fernwald 3-0 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Baunatal 1-0 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Baunatal score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fernwald score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baunatal | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Fernwald | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baunatal sit 14th in Oberliga - Hessen (12 points from 12 matches) and Fernwald sit 10th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fernwald | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Baunatal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
A question about Baunatal vs Fernwald?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baunatal vs Fernwald?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fernwald the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Baunatal.
- Where and when is Baunatal vs Fernwald played?
- Baunatal vs Fernwald is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026FC GießenvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Oct 24, 2026Eintracht StadtallendorfvsBayern Alzenau
- Oct 24, 2026FriedbergvsKassel 2
- Oct 24, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsVfb Marburg
- Oct 24, 2026Unter-Flockenbachvs1960 Hanau
- Oct 24, 2026HadamarvsEddersheim
- Oct 25, 2026TuBa PohlheimvsHünfelder SV
- Oct 25, 2026KasselvsHummetroth