Fernwald vs FC Gießen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Steinbach, Fernwald
The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for FC Gießen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fernwald vs FC Gießen?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Fernwald (1,811) and FC Gießen (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fernwald have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Gießen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baunatal(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fernwald win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Gießen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | FC Gießen 2-0 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Fernwald 3-2 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 1, 2024 | FC Gießen 0-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Fernwald 1-4 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 7, 2022 | Fernwald 1-1 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 3, 2022 | FC Gießen 3-2 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: FC Gießen vs Fernwald on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Gießen score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernwald | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Gießen | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fernwald sit 9th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and FC Gießen sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fernwald | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Gießen | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fernwald vs FC Gießen?
- The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for FC Gießen.
- Where and when is Fernwald vs FC Gießen played?
- Fernwald vs FC Gießen is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Bayern AlzenauvsHadamar
- Mar 20, 2027Eintracht StadtallendorfvsBaunatal
- Mar 20, 2027Vfb MarburgvsEddersheim
- Mar 20, 2027Hünfelder SVvsKassel
- Mar 20, 2027FriedbergvsUnter-Flockenbach
- Mar 21, 2027TuBa PohlheimvsDarmstadt 98 II
- Mar 21, 20271960 HanauvsHummetroth
- Mar 21, 2027Kassel 2vsRot-Weiß Walldorf