Match

Fernwald vs FC Gießen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Steinbach, Fernwald

FernwaldFC Gießen

The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for FC Gießen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fernwald vs FC Gießen?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Fernwald (1,811) and FC Gießen (1,806).

Fernwald win49 %
Draw23 %
FC Gießen win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fernwald have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Gießen have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fernwald
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kassel 2(away)2-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026Hünfelder SV(home)1-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026TuBa Pohlheim(home)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Bayern Alzenau(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Jul 31, 2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)2-0Oberliga - Hessen
FC Gießen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Darmstadt 98 II(away)0-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 20261960 Hanau(home)3-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Hadamar(home)0-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Baunatal(away)0-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 1, 2026Kassel 2(home)0-2Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fernwald win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Gießen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026FC Gießen 2-0 FernwaldOberliga - Hessen
Nov 1, 2025Fernwald 3-2 FC GießenOberliga - Hessen
Apr 1, 2024FC Gießen 0-1 FernwaldOberliga - Hessen
Jul 29, 2023Fernwald 1-4 FC GießenOberliga - Hessen
Sep 7, 2022Fernwald 1-1 FC GießenOberliga - Hessen
Aug 3, 2022FC Gießen 3-2 FernwaldOberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: FC Gießen vs Fernwald on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Gießen score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fernwald1.71.3410/158/15
FC Gießen1.22.238/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fernwald sit 9th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and FC Gießen sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Fernwald5221768
15FC Gießen50326113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fernwald vs FC Gießen?
The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for FC Gießen.
Where and when is Fernwald vs FC Gießen played?
Fernwald vs FC Gießen is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fernwald and FC Gießen

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