FC Gießen vs Fernwald: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Gießen, Gießen
The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FC Gießen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gießen vs Fernwald?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate FC Gießen (1,809) and Fernwald (1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gießen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Fernwald have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baunatal(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Gießen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fernwald win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | FC Gießen 2-0 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Fernwald 3-2 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 1, 2024 | FC Gießen 0-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Fernwald 1-4 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 7, 2022 | Fernwald 1-1 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 3, 2022 | FC Gießen 3-2 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: FC Gießen vs Fernwald on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gießen score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gießen | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Fernwald | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gießen sit 15th in Oberliga - Hessen (3 points from 5 matches) and Fernwald sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fernwald | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Gießen | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gießen vs Fernwald?
- The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FC Gießen.
- Where and when is FC Gießen vs Fernwald played?
- FC Gießen vs Fernwald is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Gießen, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026BaunatalvsEintracht Stadtallendorf
- Sep 12, 2026Hummetrothvs1960 Hanau
- Sep 12, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsTuBa Pohlheim
- Sep 12, 2026Unter-FlockenbachvsFriedberg
- Sep 12, 2026HadamarvsBayern Alzenau
- Sep 13, 2026KasselvsHünfelder SV
- Sep 13, 2026EddersheimvsVfb Marburg
- Sep 13, 2026Rot-Weiß WalldorfvsKassel 2