Fernwald vs Hummetroth: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Steinbach, Fernwald
The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fernwald vs Hummetroth?
Fernwald starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fernwald have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hummetroth have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fernwald win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hummetroth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Fernwald 3-0 Hummetroth | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hummetroth 3-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Fernwald vs Hummetroth on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hummetroth score 1.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernwald | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Hummetroth | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fernwald sit 9th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Hummetroth sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fernwald | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Hummetroth | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fernwald vs Hummetroth?
- The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Hummetroth.
- Where and when is Fernwald vs Hummetroth played?
- Fernwald vs Hummetroth is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Bayern AlzenauvsDarmstadt 98 II
- Apr 10, 2027Eintracht StadtallendorfvsUnter-Flockenbach
- Apr 10, 2027Vfb MarburgvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Apr 10, 2027BaunatalvsHünfelder SV
- Apr 10, 20271960 HanauvsKassel
- Apr 11, 2027TuBa PohlheimvsFriedberg
- Apr 11, 2027EddersheimvsFC Gießen
- Apr 11, 2027Kassel 2vsHadamar