Where and when is Hummetroth vs Fernwald played?

Hummetroth vs Fernwald is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Erbacher Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hessen.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hummetroth vs Fernwald: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Erbacher Sportpark, Erbach im Odenwald

Hummetroth

Fernwald

The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hummetroth vs Fernwald?

Fernwald starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,684).

Hummetroth win23 %

Draw20 %

Fernwald win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hummetroth have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Fernwald have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hummetroth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern Alzenau(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026	Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)	0-5	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026	Unter-Flockenbach(home)	1-2	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 9, 2026	TuBa Pohlheim(away)	1-3	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 1, 2026	Friedberg(home)	2-4	Oberliga - Hessen

Fernwald
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kassel 2(away)	2-1	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026	Hünfelder SV(home)	1-3	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026	TuBa Pohlheim(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026	Bayern Alzenau(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Hessen
Jul 31, 2026	Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)	2-0	Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hummetroth win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fernwald win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Fernwald 3-0 Hummetroth	Oberliga - Hessen
Sep 27, 2025	Hummetroth 3-1 Fernwald	Oberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: Fernwald vs Hummetroth on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hummetroth score 1.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hummetroth	1.9	2.6	0	13/15	14/15
Fernwald	1.7	1.3	4	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hummetroth sit 17th in Oberliga - Hessen (1 points from 5 matches) and Fernwald sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fernwald	5	2	2	1	7	6	8
17	Hummetroth	5	0	1	4	5	15	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hummetroth vs Fernwald?: The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Hummetroth.
Where and when is Hummetroth vs Fernwald played?: Hummetroth vs Fernwald is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Erbacher Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.