Ferroviario vs Tocantinópolis: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 3Kick-off on May 21, 2023 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviario vs Tocantinópolis?
Ferroviario won 1-0 on May 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 65′AbnerFerroviario
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviario have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tocantinópolis have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | Cordino(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| May 7, 2023 | Fluminense PI(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-4 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 23, 2023 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-3 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-4 | Cearense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Maranhão(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| May 7, 2023 | Parnahyba(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Capital(home) | 4-3 | Tocantinense |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Capital(away) | 2-1 | Tocantinense |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Tocantins Miracema(home) | 4-1 | Tocantinense |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviario score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tocantinópolis score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tocantinópolis | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviario sit 1st in Serie D (21 points from 10 matches) and Tocantinópolis sit 5th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Tocantinópolis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- May 20, 2023Real Noroeste0-2Vitória ES
- May 20, 2023Independiente FSJ0-0Hercílio Luz
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- May 20, 2023União Rondonópolis2-0CEOV Operário
- May 20, 2023Nacional AM1-0Princesa Solimões
- May 20, 2023Interporto1-0Brasiliense
- May 20, 2023Cascavel1-1Maringá