Fiorentina vs AEK Athens FC: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 27, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Full time
What was the result of Fiorentina vs AEK Athens FC?
AEK Athens FC won 0-1 on November 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 35′M. GaćinovićAEK Athens FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentina have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; AEK Athens FC have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Juventus(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Genoa(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 6, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Lecce(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Inter(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | OFI(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Panetolikos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Ilioupoli(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentina score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Athens FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| AEK Athens FC | 1.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fiorentina sit 15th in UEFA Europa Conference League (9 points from 6 matches) and AEK Athens FC sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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