Udinese vs Fiorentina: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
The Footlab AI model makes Fiorentina the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Udinese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fiorentina wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Udinese vs Fiorentina?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Udinese (1,985) and Fiorentina (2,036).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Udinese vs Fiorentina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Udinese
3-4-2-1- 9K. Davis
- 32J. Ekkelenkamp
- 23M. Vojvoda
- 8J. Karlström
- 11H. Kamara
- 6Oier Zarraga
- 30G. Chakvetadze
- 77E. Ebosse
- 28O. Solet
- 14J. Abankwah
- 40M. Okoye
Fiorentina
4-2-3-1- 32Mateo Pellegrino
- 30Franco Mastantuono
- 27C. Ndour
- 44N. Fagioli
- 25A. Njie
- 28Pote
- 3R. Drăgușin
- 20Álex Jiménez
- 33Viery
- 5M. Pongračić
- 43David de Gea
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Udinese have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fiorentina have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Torino(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Inter(away) | 3-5 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Como(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Udinese wins, 1 draw, 3 Fiorentina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Udinese 3-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Fiorentina 5-1 Udinese | Serie A |
| May 25, 2025 | Udinese 2-3 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Fiorentina 1-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Fiorentina 2-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Udinese 0-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Udinese score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentina score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Fiorentina | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Udinese sit 16th in Serie A (4 points from 7 matches) and Fiorentina sit 18th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
A question about Udinese vs Fiorentina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Udinese vs Fiorentina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fiorentina the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Udinese.
- Where and when is Udinese vs Fiorentina played?
- Udinese vs Fiorentina is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Bluenergy Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.