Milan II vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milan II vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Milan II (1,764) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milan II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chievo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 10-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Milan II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Milan II 0-1 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-0 Milan II | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Milan II vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Milan II score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan II | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milan II sit 4th in Serie D - Girone B (56 points from 34 matches) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 10th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Milan II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 37 | 56 |
| 10 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milan II vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
- The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
- Where and when is Milan II vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?
- Milan II vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.