Match

Fiorenzuola vs Virtus Verona: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda

FiorenzuolaVirtus Verona

The Footlab model makes Virtus Verona the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Virtus Verona?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Fiorenzuola (1,549) and Virtus Verona (1,615).

Fiorenzuola win36 %
Draw28 %
Virtus Verona win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorenzuola have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Virtus Verona have 0, 7 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fiorenzuola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Brusaporto(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2025Prato(home)3-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 27, 2025Tuttocuoio(away)0-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 17, 2025Lentigione(home)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 13, 2025Ravenna(away)0-3Serie D - Girone D
Virtus Verona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Sudtirol(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Hellas Verona(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Lumezzane(away)1-4Serie C - Girone A
Apr 19, 2026Alcione(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Fiorenzuola win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Virtus Verona win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 25, 2024Fiorenzuola 1-1 Virtus VeronaSerie C - Girone A
Oct 20, 2023Virtus Verona 1-0 FiorenzuolaSerie C - Girone A
Mar 6, 2022Fiorenzuola 1-0 Virtus VeronaSerie C - Girone A
Oct 24, 2021Virtus Verona 2-1 FiorenzuolaSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Fiorenzuola vs Virtus Verona on Feb 25, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Verona score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fiorenzuola0.71.344/156/15
Virtus Verona0.91.919/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fiorenzuola vs Virtus Verona?
The Footlab model makes Virtus Verona the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Fiorenzuola.
Where and when is Fiorenzuola vs Virtus Verona played?
Fiorenzuola vs Virtus Verona is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fiorenzuola and Virtus Verona

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