Real Calepina vs Tritium: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, Grumello del Monte
The Footlab model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Calepina vs Tritium?
Real Calepina starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,690 vs 1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Calepina have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tritium have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Breno(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Club Milano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Caravaggio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Arconatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Real Calepina win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tritium win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Tritium 0-3 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Real Calepina 1-1 Tritium | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 2, 2023 | Tritium 9-0 Real Calepina | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Real Calepina on Mar 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Calepina | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Tritium | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 47 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Calepina vs Tritium?
- The Footlab model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Tritium.
- Where and when is Real Calepina vs Tritium played?
- Real Calepina vs Tritium is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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