Match

Real Calepina vs Tritium: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, Grumello del Monte

Real CalepinaTritium

The Footlab AI model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Calepina wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,229 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Calepina vs Tritium?

Real Calepina starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,543).

57%23%20%
Real Calepina winDrawTritium win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Calepina vs Tritium

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Calepina

Not enough data to predict the Real Calepina lineup.

Tritium

Not enough data to predict the Tritium lineup.

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Calepina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tritium have 0, 5 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Calepina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Club Milano(away)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Villa Valle(home)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(home)0-2Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Rovato Vertovese(away)1-0Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Brusaporto(home)2-3Serie D - Girone B
Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Virtus Verona(away)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Club Milano(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Villa Valle(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 3, 2026Chievo(away)0-5Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Rovato Vertovese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Real Calepina win, 1 draw, 1 Tritium win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 3, 2024Tritium 0-3 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B
Oct 28, 2023Real Calepina 1-1 TritiumSerie D - Girone B
Aug 2, 2023Tritium 9-0 Real CalepinaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Real Calepina on Mar 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Real Calepina score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Calepina1.21.639/157/15
Tritium0.92.019/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Calepina sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (11 points from 8 matches) and Tritium sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Real Calepina8323131311
18Tritium80267182

A question about Real Calepina vs Tritium?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Calepina vs Tritium?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Tritium.
Where and when is Real Calepina vs Tritium played?
Real Calepina vs Tritium is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Calepina and Tritium

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