Firpo vs Atletico Balboa: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 11Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Sergio Torres Rivera, Usulután
The Footlab model makes Firpo the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Atletico Balboa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
Firpo starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Firpo have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Balboa have 2, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 21, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inca Aruba(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Águila(away) | 4-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Firpo score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Balboa score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firpo | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico Balboa | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Firpo sit 3rd in Primera Division (11 points from 5 matches) and Atletico Balboa sit 5th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Firpo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Atletico Balboa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
- The Footlab model makes Firpo the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Atletico Balboa.
- Where and when is Firpo vs Atletico Balboa played?
- Firpo vs Atletico Balboa is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sergio Torres Rivera, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.