Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, Santa Rosa de Lima
The Footlab model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Atletico Balboa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Municipal Limeño (1,660) and Atletico Balboa (1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Limeño have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Balboa have 2, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Águila(away) | 4-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 2-4 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Limeño score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Balboa score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Limeño | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico Balboa | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Municipal Limeño sit 7th in Primera Division (7 points from 6 matches) and Atletico Balboa sit 5th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Balboa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa?
- The Footlab model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Atletico Balboa.
- Where and when is Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa played?
- Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.