First Vienna vs SV Kapfenberg: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Naturarena Hohe Warte, Wien
The Footlab model makes First Vienna the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for SV Kapfenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win First Vienna vs SV Kapfenberg?
First Vienna starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,681).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, First Vienna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; SV Kapfenberg have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 2-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 1-4 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mattersburg SV 2020(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 First Vienna win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SV Kapfenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | First Vienna 1-2 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SV Kapfenberg 0-3 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | First Vienna 0-2 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | SV Kapfenberg 1-2 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
| May 17, 2024 | First Vienna 4-2 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | SV Kapfenberg 0-0 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: First Vienna vs SV Kapfenberg on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
First Vienna score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SV Kapfenberg score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Vienna | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| SV Kapfenberg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
First Vienna sit 5th in 2. Liga (7 points from 4 matches) and SV Kapfenberg sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | First Vienna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for First Vienna vs SV Kapfenberg?
- The Footlab model makes First Vienna the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for SV Kapfenberg.
- Where and when is First Vienna vs SV Kapfenberg played?
- First Vienna vs SV Kapfenberg is played on May 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naturarena Hohe Warte, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.