Wacker Innsbruck vs Sturm Graz II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
The Footlab model makes Wacker Innsbruck the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wacker Innsbruck vs Sturm Graz II?
Wacker Innsbruck is a heavy favourite: 1,979 Elo points against 1,675, a 304-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wacker Innsbruck have 14 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Sturm Graz II have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(home) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC BW Linz(away) | 0-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(home) | 5-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Wacker Innsbruck score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wacker Innsbruck | 2.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wacker Innsbruck sit 3rd in 2. Liga (9 points from 4 matches) and Sturm Graz II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wacker Innsbruck | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wacker Innsbruck vs Sturm Graz II?
- The Footlab model makes Wacker Innsbruck the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is Wacker Innsbruck vs Sturm Graz II played?
- Wacker Innsbruck vs Sturm Graz II is played on May 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.