FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnik Surdulica: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd
The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Radnik Surdulica. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnik Surdulica?
FK Crvena Zvezda is a heavy favourite: 2,048 Elo points against 1,719, a 329-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Crvena Zvezda have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Radnik Surdulica have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macva(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FK Crvena Zvezda win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Radnik Surdulica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica 1-2 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 1-1 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Radnik Surdulica 0-2 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | FK Crvena Zvezda 3-1 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Radnik Surdulica 1-2 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Radnik Surdulica score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Radnik Surdulica | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Crvena Zvezda sit 1st in Super Liga (12 points from 4 matches) and Radnik Surdulica sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnik Surdulica?
- The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Radnik Surdulica.
- Where and when is FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnik Surdulica played?
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnik Surdulica is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rajko Mitić, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.