OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Omladinski Stadion, Beograd
The Footlab AI model makes OFK Beograd the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Novi Pazar. The most likely score is 1-1. If OFK Beograd wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,936 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate OFK Beograd (1,663) and Novi Pazar (1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
OFK Beograd
4-1-4-1- 42Y. Silue
- 6S. Peña
- 14M. Momčilović
- 27H. Aderoju
- 11T. De Barr
- 18H. Touré
- 4A. Pavlovic
- 2S. Despotovski
- 15N. Maraš
- 47S. StojkoviÄ
- 31Vuk Draškić
Novi Pazar
4-2-3-1- 22A. Ljajić
- 24I. Davidović
- 10D. Sadi
- 20K. Dixon
- 8Skima Togbe
- 6P. Gadio
- 4Allan De León
- 50T. Dadić
- 23J. Marinković
- 14N. Stankovic
- 1Bogdan Matijašević
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 12:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFK Beograd have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Novi Pazar have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | OFK Vršac(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Macva(away) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(away) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(home) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FK Partizan(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 OFK Beograd wins, 1 draw, 3 Novi Pazar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Novi Pazar 1-4 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Novi Pazar 1-5 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Novi Pazar 2-1 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | OFK Beograd 0-2 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| May 25, 2025 | OFK Beograd 2-3 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Dec 9, 2024 | OFK Beograd 1-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OFK Beograd score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Novi Pazar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFK Beograd | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Novi Pazar | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OFK Beograd sit 11th in Super Liga (11 points from 14 matches) and Novi Pazar sit 10th (16 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Novi Pazar | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
| 11 | OFK Beograd | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
A question about OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar?
- The Footlab AI model makes OFK Beograd the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Novi Pazar.
- Where and when is OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar played?
- OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Omladinski Stadion, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.