OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Omladinski Stadion, Beograd
The Footlab model makes OFK Beograd the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Novi Pazar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate OFK Beograd (1,722) and Novi Pazar (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFK Beograd have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Novi Pazar have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zemun(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cukaricki(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Novi Pazar(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 OFK Beograd win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Novi Pazar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Novi Pazar 1-4 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Novi Pazar 1-5 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Novi Pazar 2-1 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | OFK Beograd 0-2 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| May 25, 2025 | OFK Beograd 2-3 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Dec 9, 2024 | OFK Beograd 1-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OFK Beograd score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFK Beograd | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OFK Beograd sit 8th in Super Liga (8 points from 6 matches) and Novi Pazar sit 9th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | OFK Beograd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar?
- The Footlab model makes OFK Beograd the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Novi Pazar.
- Where and when is OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar played?
- OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Omladinski Stadion, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.