FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaMatchday 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase, Sarajevo
The Footlab AI model makes FK Sarajevo the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Siroki Brijeg. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?
FK Sarajevo starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,568).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FK Sarajevo
3-4-3- 19R. Caraballo
- 99B. Barišić
- 23J. Agyekum
- 7I. Šarić
- 20A. Elezi
- 9L. Mikić
- 77M. Kuprešak
- 22A. Beganović
- 70S. Pidro
- 18Matija Glogovac
- 31I. Banić
Siroki Brijeg
4-2-3-1- 10F. MatiÄ
- 77R. Marijanović
- 11David Virgili
- 90Tomislav Tomić
- 18M. Matić
- 30I. Kraljevic
- 5B. Markovina
- 47Ivan Krstanović
- 26M. Oršolić
- 14N. Vukančić
- 51I. Puljić
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Sarajevo have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Siroki Brijeg have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Zrinjski(away) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(away) | 1-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Tomislav(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(away) | 1-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | GOŠK Gabela(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Čelik(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sloga Doboj(away) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FK Sarajevo win, 3 draws, 2 Siroki Brijeg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg 1-2 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | FK Sarajevo 2-2 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg 1-0 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | FK Sarajevo 0-0 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 2-1 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| May 14, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 1-1 FK Sarajevo | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo on Sep 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Sarajevo score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Siroki Brijeg score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Siroki Brijeg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Sarajevo sit 3rd in Premijer Liga (20 points from 13 matches) and Siroki Brijeg sit 4th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
A question about FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?
- The Footlab AI model makes FK Sarajevo the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Siroki Brijeg.
- Where and when is FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg played?
- FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.