Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pecara, Široki Brijeg
The Footlab model makes FK Sarajevo the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Siroki Brijeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
FK Sarajevo starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,573).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siroki Brijeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FK Sarajevo have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Čelik(away) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sloga Doboj(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tomislav(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 4-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 25, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Siroki Brijeg win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 FK Sarajevo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FK Sarajevo 2-2 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg 1-0 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | FK Sarajevo 0-0 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 2-1 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| May 14, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 1-1 FK Sarajevo | Cup |
| May 10, 2025 | FK Sarajevo 0-1 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siroki Brijeg score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FK Sarajevo score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siroki Brijeg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| FK Sarajevo | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siroki Brijeg sit 2nd in Premijer Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and FK Sarajevo sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
- The Footlab model makes FK Sarajevo the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Siroki Brijeg.
- Where and when is Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo played?
- Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pecara, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.