FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase, Sarajevo
The Footlab model makes FK Sarajevo the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Zrinjski. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate FK Sarajevo (1,725) and Zrinjski (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Sarajevo have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Zrinjski have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 25, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(away) | 5-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Čelik(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FK Sarajevo win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Zrinjski win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | FK Sarajevo 2-1 Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Zrinjski 0-0 FK Sarajevo | Super Cup |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Zrinjski 0-1 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 6, 2025 | FK Sarajevo 1-1 Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Zrinjski 2-0 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Apr 11, 2025 | FK Sarajevo 0-0 Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Sarajevo score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zrinjski score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Zrinjski | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Sarajevo sit 4th in Premijer Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Zrinjski sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski?
- The Footlab model makes FK Sarajevo the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Zrinjski.
- Where and when is FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski played?
- FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.