Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Grbavica, Sarajevo
The Footlab model makes Zeljeznicar Sarajevo the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Siroki Brijeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (1,598) and Siroki Brijeg (1,573).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Siroki Brijeg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sloboda Tuzla(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(away) | 0-1 | Premijer Liga |
| May 21, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(home) | 2-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Čelik(away) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sloga Doboj(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tomislav(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 4-0 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Siroki Brijeg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2-2 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg 1-1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3-3 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 1-0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| May 18, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 3-2 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1-0 Siroki Brijeg | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Siroki Brijeg score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Siroki Brijeg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo sit 5th in Premijer Liga (3 points from 1 matches) and Siroki Brijeg sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siroki Brijeg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?
- The Footlab model makes Zeljeznicar Sarajevo the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Siroki Brijeg.
- Where and when is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg played?
- Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Grbavica, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.